Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026
Lebron / Augsburger v Tello / Arce
Pre-match odds
Lebron / Augsburger
74%
Avg Elo 1878
Tello / Arce
26%
Avg Elo 1789
Elo gap 89
Lebron / Augsburger delivered as 74% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Lebron / AugsburgerTello / Arce
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
58%
72%
47%
72%
67%
48%
33%
38%
6
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 34%
- Points won on serve 46%
- Points won on return 19%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 15%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
66%
81%
54%
85%
0%
56%
0%
50%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
54%
68%
43%
66%
100%
43%
40%
25%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.