Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026
Gil / Lijo v Nieto / Yanguas
Pre-match odds
Gil / Lijo
14%
Avg Elo 1646
Nieto / Yanguas
86%
Avg Elo 1806
Elo gap 160
Nieto / Yanguas delivered as 86% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gil / LijoNieto / Yanguas
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 44%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 14%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 11
45%
59%
32%
56%
86%
32%
29%
29%
6
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 14%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 6
48%
68%
32%
63%
86%
30%
100%
25%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
41%
50%
32%
50%
0%
36%
17%
33%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.