The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 1, 2026

Gala / Jensen v Galan / Chingotto

Center Court00:52

Pre-match odds

Gala / Jensen

3%

Avg Elo 1740

Galan / Chingotto

97%

Avg Elo 2056

Elo gap 316

Galan / Chingotto delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gala / JensenGalan / Chingotto

35%
Points won
65%
40%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
60%
42%
1st-serve points won
71%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
56%
3
Longest run of points
11
7
Service games
7
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

38%
Points won
62%
36%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
64%
41%
1st-serve points won
60%
20%
2nd-serve points won
0%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
0%
Break points converted
50%
2
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
3
1
Double faults
0

Set 2

31%
Points won
69%
42%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
58%
42%
1st-serve points won
88%
43%
2nd-serve points won
67%
12%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
9
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.