QuarterfinalMenOctober 2, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Alfonso / Libaak
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
97%
Avg Elo 2103
Alfonso / Libaak
3%
Avg Elo 1786
Elo gap 317
Tapia / Coello delivered as 97% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloAlfonso / Libaak
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 14
54%
68%
41%
68%
67%
41%
44%
40%
8
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
46%
64%
28%
66%
0%
24%
67%
0%
5
5
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
56%
74%
39%
71%
100%
37%
100%
33%
8
5
Set 3
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 36%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
60%
65%
57%
67%
50%
64%
20%
50%
8
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.