QuarterfinalMenOctober 2, 2026
Lebron / Augsburger v Nieto / Yanguas
Pre-match odds
UpsetLebron / Augsburger
71%
Avg Elo 1890
Nieto / Yanguas
29%
Avg Elo 1811
Elo gap 80
Nieto / Yanguas won with a 29% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Lebron / AugsburgerNieto / Yanguas
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 56%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 13
- Service games 11
46%
60%
35%
62%
44%
36%
20%
20%
4
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 6
45%
56%
36%
58%
40%
35%
50%
25%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
47%
68%
33%
72%
50%
37%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.