SemifinalMenOctober 3, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Campagnolo / Gonzalez
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
98%
Avg Elo 2104
Campagnolo / Gonzalez
2%
Avg Elo 1784
Elo gap 320
Tapia / Coello delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloCampagnolo / Gonzalez
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 11
57%
65%
49%
65%
71%
48%
57%
56%
6
12
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 45%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 18%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
65%
76%
55%
82%
50%
55%
50%
50%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
45%
50%
41%
48%
100%
36%
75%
100%
3
4
Set 3
- Points won 33%
- Points won on serve 44%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
67%
76%
56%
74%
100%
59%
0%
50%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.