FinalMenOctober 4, 2026
Tapia / Coello v Stupaczuk / Sanz
Pre-match odds
Tapia / Coello
92%
Avg Elo 2105
Stupaczuk / Sanz
8%
Avg Elo 1891
Elo gap 215
Tapia / Coello delivered as 92% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Tapia / CoelloStupaczuk / Sanz
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
55%
64%
46%
65%
50%
46%
50%
40%
6
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
56%
64%
48%
63%
100%
50%
40%
40%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
55%
64%
43%
68%
33%
41%
100%
40%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.