Round of 32WomenSeptember 30, 2026
Koek / Weterings v Castello / Talavan
Pre-match odds
Koek / Weterings
3%
Avg Elo 1399
Castello / Talavan
97%
Avg Elo 1707
Elo gap 308
Castello / Talavan delivered as 97% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Koek / WeteringsCastello / Talavan
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 76%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 59%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 8
36%
45%
26%
41%
80%
24%
40%
0%
4
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 63%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
37%
42%
33%
42%
0%
30%
50%
0%
3
3
Set 2
- Points won 67%
- Points won on serve 84%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 60%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
33%
50%
16%
40%
80%
17%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.