Round of 32WomenSeptember 30, 2026
Montes / Barrera v Lopez / Fassio
Pre-match odds
Montes / Barrera
58%
Avg Elo 1664
Lopez / Fassio
42%
Avg Elo 1637
Elo gap 27
Montes / Barrera delivered as 58% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montes / BarreraLopez / Fassio
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 77%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 15
48%
60%
36%
60%
60%
38%
23%
40%
5
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
35%
48%
20%
50%
0%
25%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
52%
74%
33%
70%
100%
36%
25%
33%
3
5
Set 3
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
52%
58%
45%
60%
40%
44%
100%
50%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.


