Round of 32WomenSeptember 30, 2026
Sainz / Saiz v Martinez / Lopez
Pre-match odds
Sainz / Saiz
83%
Avg Elo 1673
Martinez / Lopez
17%
Avg Elo 1537
Elo gap 136
Sainz / Saiz delivered as 83% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Sainz / SaizMartinez / Lopez
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 36%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 12
52%
60%
46%
59%
64%
45%
50%
24%
5
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 4
40%
48%
33%
50%
33%
29%
67%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
57%
62%
50%
60%
71%
50%
0%
67%
5
5
Set 3
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 49%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
58%
67%
51%
65%
75%
53%
33%
17%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.