Round of 32WomenSeptember 30, 2026
Caldera / Goenaga v Borrero / Navarro
Pre-match odds
Caldera / Goenaga
92%
Avg Elo 1804
Borrero / Navarro
8%
Avg Elo 1597
Elo gap 208
Caldera / Goenaga delivered as 92% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Caldera / GoenagaBorrero / Navarro
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
58%
75%
40%
76%
71%
37%
60%
100%
13
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 13%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 12%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
60%
87%
33%
88%
83%
25%
75%
100%
8
5
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 52%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 38%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
56%
64%
46%
65%
62%
48%
0%
100%
6
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.