The Padel Brief

Round of 32WomenSeptember 30, 2026

Collombon / Sharifova v Dominguez / Bellver

Pre-match odds

Collombon / Sharifova

79%

Avg Elo 1612

Dominguez / Bellver

21%

Avg Elo 1495

Elo gap 117

Collombon / Sharifova delivered as 79% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Collombon / SharifovaDominguez / Bellver

56%
Points won
44%
65%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
35%
63%
1st-serve points won
50%
80%
2nd-serve points won
62%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
57%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
56%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
44%
52%
1st-serve points won
45%
75%
2nd-serve points won
60%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
75%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
73%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
27%
72%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.