Round of 16WomenOctober 1, 2026
Brea / Triay v Castello / Talavan
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
98%
Avg Elo 2034
Castello / Talavan
2%
Avg Elo 1709
Elo gap 325
Brea / Triay delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayCastello / Talavan
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 30%
- 1st-serve points won 42%
- 2nd-serve points won 44%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 20%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 8
62%
70%
57%
68%
80%
58%
56%
50%
8
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 30%
- Points won on serve 38%
- Points won on return 14%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 9%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
70%
86%
62%
91%
67%
62%
67%
50%
8
3
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 47%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 46%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
57%
62%
53%
59%
100%
54%
50%
50%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.