The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 1, 2026

Montes / Barrera v Salazar / Osoro

Court 302:19

Pre-match odds

Montes / Barrera

19%

Avg Elo 1671

Salazar / Osoro

81%

Avg Elo 1797

Elo gap 126

Salazar / Osoro delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montes / BarreraSalazar / Osoro

46%
Points won
54%
48%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
52%
47%
1st-serve points won
54%
50%
2nd-serve points won
64%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
40%
Break points converted
89%
9
Longest run of points
9
15
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
57%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
43%
58%
1st-serve points won
62%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
20%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

53%
Points won
47%
50%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
50%
50%
1st-serve points won
42%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
44%
Break points converted
75%
7
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 3

31%
Points won
69%
25%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
75%
25%
1st-serve points won
65%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
75%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
100%
2
Longest run of points
9
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.