Round of 16WomenOctober 1, 2026
Alonso / Guinart v Bidahorria / Riera
Pre-match odds
Upset84%
Avg Elo 1788
16%
Avg Elo 1645
Elo gap 143
Bidahorria / Riera won with a 16% chance — about 1 in 6.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Alonso / GuinartBidahorria / Riera
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 54%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
Set 2
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 60%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
Set 3
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.