The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 1, 2026

Ortega / Araujo v Valenzuela / Godallier

Pre-match odds

Ortega / Araujo

86%

Avg Elo 1831

Valenzuela / Godallier

14%

Avg Elo 1675

Elo gap 156

Ortega / Araujo delivered as 86% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortega / AraujoValenzuela / Godallier

55%
Points won
45%
68%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
32%
67%
1st-serve points won
59%
71%
2nd-serve points won
33%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
100%
Break points converted
20%
6
Longest run of points
7
10
Service games
11
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
80%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
20%
82%
1st-serve points won
60%
67%
2nd-serve points won
0%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
18%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

52%
Points won
48%
62%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
38%
61%
1st-serve points won
59%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
20%
6
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.