The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 1, 2026

Collombon / Sharifova v Gonzalez / Josemaria

Pre-match odds

Collombon / Sharifova

2%

Avg Elo 1621

Gonzalez / Josemaria

98%

Avg Elo 1954

Elo gap 334

Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Collombon / SharifovaGonzalez / Josemaria

42%
Points won
58%
55%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
45%
56%
1st-serve points won
76%
50%
2nd-serve points won
60%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
61%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
39%
62%
1st-serve points won
75%
60%
2nd-serve points won
67%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 2

38%
Points won
62%
48%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
52%
50%
1st-serve points won
76%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
24%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.