The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 2, 2026

Brea / Triay v Salazar / Osoro

Winner
66
Center Court01:29

Pre-match odds

Brea / Triay

93%

Avg Elo 2035

Salazar / Osoro

7%

Avg Elo 1805

Elo gap 230

Brea / Triay delivered as 93% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Brea / TriaySalazar / Osoro

61%
Points won
39%
65%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
35%
63%
1st-serve points won
42%
78%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
22%
45%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

75%
Points won
25%
80%
Points won on serve
29%
71%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
21%
100%
2nd-serve points won
67%
79%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

54%
Points won
46%
59%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
41%
55%
1st-serve points won
54%
75%
2nd-serve points won
43%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.