QuarterfinalWomenOctober 2, 2026
Bidahorria / Riera v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Bidahorria / Riera
2%
Avg Elo 1681
Ustero / Sanchez
98%
Avg Elo 2019
Elo gap 338
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 98% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Bidahorria / RieraUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 64%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 9
42%
52%
30%
55%
36%
33%
0%
33%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
43%
52%
32%
54%
40%
35%
0%
100%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
40%
52%
28%
57%
33%
30%
0%
0%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.