QuarterfinalWomenOctober 2, 2026
Fernandez / Calvo v Escacena / Jensen
Pre-match odds
Fernandez / Calvo
95%
Avg Elo 2021
Escacena / Jensen
5%
Avg Elo 1767
Elo gap 254
Fernandez / Calvo delivered as 95% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fernandez / CalvoEscacena / Jensen
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 46%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 11
57%
66%
49%
69%
54%
49%
50%
40%
9
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 41%
- Points won on serve 48%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 29%
- Points won returning 1st serve 26%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
59%
67%
52%
74%
43%
45%
71%
50%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 49%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
56%
65%
47%
64%
67%
51%
0%
33%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.