QuarterfinalWomenOctober 2, 2026
Ortega / Araujo v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Ortega / Araujo
20%
Avg Elo 1837
Gonzalez / Josemaria
80%
Avg Elo 1955
Elo gap 119
Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 80% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ortega / AraujoGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 56%
- Break points converted 30%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 14
46%
60%
30%
61%
44%
30%
40%
25%
6
13
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
54%
65%
39%
67%
50%
36%
67%
50%
6
5
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
42%
61%
27%
57%
100%
28%
0%
0%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 74%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
38%
50%
25%
57%
0%
26%
0%
0%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.