SemifinalWomenOctober 3, 2026
Brea / Triay v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
55%
Avg Elo 2038
Ustero / Sanchez
45%
Avg Elo 2020
Elo gap 18
Ustero / Sanchez won as slight underdogs (45%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 57%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 70%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 8
44%
43%
45%
43%
38%
47%
33%
43%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 50%
- Points won on return 61%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 64%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
44%
39%
50%
36%
67%
50%
50%
100%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 57%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 80%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
44%
47%
41%
52%
20%
43%
25%
20%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.