SemifinalWomenOctober 3, 2026
Fernandez / Calvo v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Fernandez / Calvo
66%
Avg Elo 2023
Gonzalez / Josemaria
34%
Avg Elo 1964
Elo gap 59
Gonzalez / Josemaria won as slight underdogs (34%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Fernandez / CalvoGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 51%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 51%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 10
46%
49%
43%
49%
50%
42%
50%
38%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
43%
50%
37%
50%
50%
36%
40%
50%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
49%
48%
49%
48%
50%
47%
60%
33%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.