FinalWomenOctober 4, 2026
Ustero / Sanchez v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Ustero / Sanchez
65%
Avg Elo 2048
Gonzalez / Josemaria
35%
Avg Elo 1992
Elo gap 56
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 65% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ustero / SanchezGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 53%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 43%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
55%
62%
48%
63%
57%
47%
60%
40%
7
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 48%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 47%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
57%
64%
52%
62%
71%
53%
33%
40%
7
5
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 55%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 37%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
53%
59%
45%
63%
43%
41%
100%
40%
7
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.