Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Garcia / Arias v Ciaccia / La Punzina
Pre-match odds
Garcia / Arias
52%
Avg Elo 1456
Ciaccia / La Punzina
48%
Avg Elo 1449
Elo gap 8
Garcia / Arias won a near coin flip (52%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Garcia / AriasCiaccia / La Punzina
- Points won 31%
- Points won on serve 39%
- Points won on return 17%
- 1st-serve points won 40%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 19%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 7
69%
83%
61%
81%
100%
60%
67%
50%
11
6
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 29%
- Points won on serve 40%
- Points won on return 8%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 29%
- Points won returning 1st serve 9%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
71%
92%
60%
91%
100%
56%
71%
38%
11
3
Set 2
- Points won 33%
- Points won on serve 38%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
67%
75%
62%
73%
100%
62%
50%
75%
7
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.