Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Merino / Sousa v Dal Bianco / Pineda
Pre-match odds
Merino / Sousa
14%
Avg Elo 1441
Dal Bianco / Pineda
86%
Avg Elo 1602
Elo gap 161
Dal Bianco / Pineda delivered as 86% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Merino / SousaDal Bianco / Pineda
- Points won 68%
- Points won on serve 79%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 81%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 86%
- Break points converted 56%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 7
32%
44%
21%
50%
14%
19%
33%
0%
3
7
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 31%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 83%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
39%
55%
25%
69%
17%
20%
50%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 77%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 71%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 69%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 3
23%
29%
14%
31%
0%
17%
0%
0%
2
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.