Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Perino / Dominguez v Meijer / Nolten
Pre-match odds
UpsetPerino / Dominguez
72%
Avg Elo 1555
Meijer / Nolten
28%
Avg Elo 1471
Elo gap 84
Meijer / Nolten won with a 28% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Perino / DominguezMeijer / Nolten
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 31%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 15
51%
65%
38%
65%
69%
37%
50%
50%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
48%
61%
36%
58%
75%
36%
0%
50%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 39%
- Points won on serve 52%
- Points won on return 25%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 23%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
61%
75%
48%
77%
50%
41%
100%
67%
5
4
Set 3
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 29%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
48%
63%
33%
61%
71%
36%
0%
0%
4
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.