Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Rutgersson / Nieto v Gutierrez / Oria
Pre-match odds
Rutgersson / Nieto
48%
Avg Elo 1499
Gutierrez / Oria
52%
Avg Elo 1505
Elo gap 6
Gutierrez / Oria won a near coin flip (52%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Rutgersson / NietoGutierrez / Oria
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 62%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 44%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 11
45%
53%
38%
55%
38%
37%
57%
25%
4
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
47%
52%
41%
50%
100%
40%
50%
20%
4
6
Set 2
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 83%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
43%
54%
34%
65%
17%
32%
100%
33%
4
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.