The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026

Alonso / Vaccari v Levchuk / Orduña

Winner
67
Court 3

Pre-match odds

Alonso / Vaccari

57%

Avg Elo 1478

Levchuk / Orduña

43%

Avg Elo 1453

Elo gap 25

Alonso / Vaccari delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alonso / VaccariLevchuk / Orduña

54%
Points won
46%
64%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
63%
75%
2nd-serve points won
40%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
100%
Break points converted
29%
7
Longest run of points
6
11
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
65%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
35%
62%
1st-serve points won
59%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
63%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
37%
63%
1st-serve points won
65%
50%
2nd-serve points won
67%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
25%
7
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.