Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Graziotti / Iacovino v Geens / Moragues
Pre-match odds
Graziotti / Iacovino
10%
Avg Elo 1483
Geens / Moragues
90%
Avg Elo 1674
Elo gap 192
Geens / Moragues delivered as 90% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Graziotti / IacovinoGeens / Moragues
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 9
43%
53%
35%
53%
50%
34%
50%
50%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 38%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
45%
62%
33%
68%
0%
33%
0%
0%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 10
- Service games 4
42%
47%
36%
42%
75%
35%
50%
50%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.