Round of 32MenOctober 4, 2026
Vogel / Jülich v Naranjo / Zapata
Pre-match odds
Vogel / Jülich
45%
Avg Elo 1550
Naranjo / Zapata
55%
Avg Elo 1568
Elo gap 18
Naranjo / Zapata delivered as 55% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Vogel / JülichNaranjo / Zapata
- Points won 73%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 66%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 67%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 71%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 7
27%
34%
20%
33%
40%
21%
0%
0%
4
6
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 77%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 75%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 71%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 11
- Service games 3
23%
25%
20%
29%
0%
21%
0%
0%
2
3
Set 2
- Points won 69%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 80%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 62%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
31%
44%
20%
38%
67%
20%
0%
0%
4
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.