Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026
Martinez / Hernandez v Garcia / Arias
Pre-match odds
Martinez / Hernandez
89%
Avg Elo 1662
Garcia / Arias
11%
Avg Elo 1484
Elo gap 178
Martinez / Hernandez delivered as 89% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Martinez / HernandezGarcia / Arias
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
60%
72%
47%
71%
75%
50%
0%
33%
4
3
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 40%
- Points won on serve 53%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 50%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 29%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 3
60%
72%
47%
71%
75%
50%
0%
33%
4
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.