The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026

Pozo / Fernandez v Dal Bianco / Pineda

Center Court00:48

Pre-match odds

Pozo / Fernandez

12%

Avg Elo 1434

Dal Bianco / Pineda

88%

Avg Elo 1610

Elo gap 176

Dal Bianco / Pineda delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Pozo / FernandezDal Bianco / Pineda

37%
Points won
63%
41%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
59%
41%
1st-serve points won
69%
43%
2nd-serve points won
60%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
67%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
12
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

33%
Points won
67%
39%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
61%
41%
1st-serve points won
73%
0%
2nd-serve points won
75%
27%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
12
4
Service games
4

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
43%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
57%
41%
1st-serve points won
67%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
59%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
75%
4
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.