Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026
Meijer / Nolten v Van Opstal / Guimet
Pre-match odds
Meijer / Nolten
55%
Avg Elo 1483
Van Opstal / Guimet
45%
Avg Elo 1467
Elo gap 16
Meijer / Nolten won a near coin flip (55%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Meijer / NoltenVan Opstal / Guimet
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 16
53%
65%
42%
64%
75%
40%
67%
57%
8
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
65%
37%
66%
50%
38%
0%
50%
6
6
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 20%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
54%
58%
49%
57%
100%
45%
100%
50%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 26%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 5
57%
74%
41%
73%
100%
39%
67%
100%
8
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.