Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026
Gutierrez / Oria v Mouriño / Quilez
Pre-match odds
Gutierrez / Oria
33%
Avg Elo 1526
Mouriño / Quilez
67%
Avg Elo 1590
Elo gap 64
Mouriño / Quilez delivered as 67% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Gutierrez / OriaMouriño / Quilez
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 76%
- Points won on return 37%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 56%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 43%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 14
45%
63%
24%
65%
50%
21%
44%
50%
6
15
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 54%
- 1st-serve points won 92%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 3
35%
46%
14%
48%
40%
8%
100%
0%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 75%
- Points won on return 20%
- 1st-serve points won 73%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 18%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
53%
80%
25%
82%
67%
27%
0%
100%
6
5
Set 3
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 77%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 6
46%
64%
27%
66%
50%
23%
50%
0%
3
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.