Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026
Alonso / Vaccari v Geens / Moragues
Pre-match odds
Alonso / Vaccari
11%
Avg Elo 1496
Geens / Moragues
89%
Avg Elo 1679
Elo gap 184
Geens / Moragues delivered as 89% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Alonso / VaccariGeens / Moragues
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 40%
- 1st-serve points won 72%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 10
43%
60%
29%
59%
67%
28%
50%
25%
5
9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 69%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 5
40%
50%
31%
52%
33%
31%
0%
50%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 75%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
47%
68%
27%
64%
100%
25%
50%
0%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.