The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Boehnke / Merten

Court 200:59

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

76%

Avg Elo 1670

Boehnke / Merten

24%

Avg Elo 1572

Elo gap 98

Solano / Pereyra delivered as 76% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraBoehnke / Merten

64%
Points won
36%
75%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
25%
76%
1st-serve points won
42%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
56%
Break points converted
0%
9
Longest run of points
4
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
84%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
16%
83%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

63%
Points won
37%
67%
Points won on serve
39%
61%
Points won on return
33%
68%
1st-serve points won
37%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
63%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.