Round of 16MenOctober 5, 2026
Naranjo / Zapata v Rodriguez / Abbate
Pre-match odds
Naranjo / Zapata
40%
Avg Elo 1595
Rodriguez / Abbate
60%
Avg Elo 1632
Elo gap 37
Rodriguez / Abbate delivered as 60% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Naranjo / ZapataRodriguez / Abbate
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 71%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 70%
- 2nd-serve points won 83%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 10
45%
61%
29%
64%
25%
30%
17%
0%
3
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 72%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 80%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
42%
57%
28%
57%
0%
29%
20%
0%
3
5
Set 2
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 70%
- Points won on return 34%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 75%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
47%
66%
30%
72%
25%
31%
0%
0%
3
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.