QuarterfinalMenOctober 6, 2026
Meijer / Nolten v Mouriño / Quilez
Pre-match odds
Meijer / Nolten
23%
Avg Elo 1498
Mouriño / Quilez
77%
Avg Elo 1603
Elo gap 105
Mouriño / Quilez delivered as 77% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Meijer / NoltenMouriño / Quilez
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 89%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 91%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 46%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 8
36%
53%
11%
54%
0%
9%
33%
0%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 89%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 88%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
42%
57%
11%
59%
0%
12%
0%
0%
4
5
Set 2
- Points won 74%
- Points won on serve 89%
- Points won on return 56%
- 1st-serve points won 94%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
26%
44%
11%
44%
0%
6%
50%
0%
3
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.