QuarterfinalMenOctober 6, 2026
Montiel / Santigosa v Geens / Moragues
Pre-match odds
Montiel / Santigosa
59%
Avg Elo 1714
Geens / Moragues
41%
Avg Elo 1684
Elo gap 30
Geens / Moragues won as slight underdogs (41%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Montiel / SantigosaGeens / Moragues
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 60%
- Points won returning 1st serve 49%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 44%
- Break points converted 41%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 15
47%
52%
43%
51%
56%
44%
40%
50%
8
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 56%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
47%
52%
43%
50%
67%
44%
33%
25%
4
4
Set 2
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 54%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 43%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 40%
- Break points converted 29%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
52%
57%
46%
57%
60%
46%
0%
67%
7
6
Set 3
- Points won 60%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 60%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 58%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
40%
40%
39%
42%
0%
38%
50%
100%
8
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.