The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 6, 2026

Solano / Pereyra v Rodriguez / Abbate

Winner
477
Court 202:40

Pre-match odds

Solano / Pereyra

60%

Avg Elo 1684

Rodriguez / Abbate

40%

Avg Elo 1647

Elo gap 37

Solano / Pereyra delivered as 60% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Solano / PereyraRodriguez / Abbate

51%
Points won
49%
62%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
38%
65%
1st-serve points won
60%
36%
2nd-serve points won
67%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
64%
50%
Break points converted
67%
7
Longest run of points
6
17
Service games
17
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
53%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
47%
52%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
62%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
38%
65%
1st-serve points won
58%
40%
2nd-serve points won
75%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
33%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 3

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
30%
76%
1st-serve points won
57%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
50%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.