QuarterfinalWomenOctober 6, 2026
Escacena / Aguilar v Baldi / Margherita
Pre-match odds
Escacena / Aguilar
82%
Avg Elo 1627
Baldi / Margherita
18%
Avg Elo 1497
Elo gap 130
Escacena / Aguilar delivered as 82% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Escacena / AguilarBaldi / Margherita
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 40%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 40%
- 2nd-serve points won 40%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 56%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 8
- Double faults 0
57%
53%
60%
55%
44%
60%
60%
43%
6
9
1
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 41%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
57%
54%
59%
50%
100%
59%
67%
30%
5
4
Set 2
- Points won 43%
- Points won on serve 39%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 38%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 39%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 71%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
- Double faults 0
57%
53%
61%
61%
29%
62%
50%
75%
4
5
1
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.