QuarterfinalWomenOctober 6, 2026
Dominguez / Bellver v Marchetti / Arruabarrena
Pre-match odds
33%
Avg Elo 1486
67%
Avg Elo 1547
Elo gap 61
Marchetti / Arruabarrena delivered as 67% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Dominguez / BellverMarchetti / Arruabarrena
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 55%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 55%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 56%
- Break points converted 46%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 57%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 52%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 38%
- Longest run of points 9
- Service games 4
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 58%
- 1st-serve points won 67%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 59%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.