QuarterfinalWomenOctober 6, 2026
Cañellas / Martinez v Marques / Ribeiro
Pre-match odds
Cañellas / Martinez
71%
Avg Elo 1512
Marques / Ribeiro
29%
Avg Elo 1433
Elo gap 79
Cañellas / Martinez delivered as 71% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Cañellas / MartinezMarques / Ribeiro
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 44%
- 2nd-serve points won 17%
- Points won returning 1st serve 18%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 7
65%
76%
59%
82%
40%
56%
83%
55%
10
6
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 39%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
64%
68%
61%
79%
40%
57%
100%
60%
5
3
Set 2
- Points won 35%
- Points won on serve 43%
- Points won on return 14%
- 1st-serve points won 45%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 14%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 2
- Service games 4
65%
86%
57%
86%
0%
55%
75%
50%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.