The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 6, 2026

Luttikhuis / Parmigiani v Borrero / Navarro

Center Court01:01

Pre-match odds

Luttikhuis / Parmigiani

21%

Avg Elo 1477

Borrero / Navarro

79%

Avg Elo 1593

Elo gap 116

Borrero / Navarro delivered as 79% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Luttikhuis / ParmigianiBorrero / Navarro

39%
Points won
61%
42%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
58%
43%
1st-serve points won
65%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
67%
6
Longest run of points
12
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
39%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
61%
39%
1st-serve points won
50%
33%
2nd-serve points won
60%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
61%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
100%
Break points converted
57%
6
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

32%
Points won
68%
48%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
52%
48%
1st-serve points won
83%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
17%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
10
4
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.