Round of 32MenOctober 7, 2026
Alfonso / Libaak v Guerrero / Leal
Pre-match odds
Alfonso / Libaak
38%
Avg Elo 1785
Guerrero / Leal
62%
Avg Elo 1828
Elo gap 43
Alfonso / Libaak won as slight underdogs (38%).
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Alfonso / LibaakGuerrero / Leal
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 28%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 17
52%
71%
36%
72%
40%
36%
33%
14%
6
16
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 43%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 41%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
44%
57%
34%
59%
0%
32%
100%
0%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 46%
- Points won on serve 66%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 65%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 21%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
54%
76%
34%
79%
50%
35%
0%
0%
6
6
Set 3
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 24%
- 1st-serve points won 60%
- 2nd-serve points won 75%
- Points won returning 1st serve 24%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
55%
76%
39%
76%
0%
40%
25%
25%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.