The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 7, 2026

Goenaga / Collado v Jofre / Esbri

Winner
467
Center Court02:22

Pre-match odds

Goenaga / Collado

22%

Avg Elo 1638

Jofre / Esbri

78%

Avg Elo 1749

Elo gap 111

Jofre / Esbri delivered as 78% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goenaga / ColladoJofre / Esbri

47%
Points won
53%
54%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
46%
53%
1st-serve points won
60%
64%
2nd-serve points won
71%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
29%
Points won returning 2nd serve
36%
57%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
9
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
59%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
41%
52%
1st-serve points won
54%
86%
2nd-serve points won
50%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
100%
Break points converted
25%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
51%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
49%
55%
1st-serve points won
69%
25%
2nd-serve points won
100%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
0%
Break points converted
29%
5
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
4

Set 3

47%
Points won
53%
52%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
48%
51%
1st-serve points won
59%
67%
2nd-serve points won
67%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
67%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.