The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 7, 2026

Lindmeyer / Wunner v Martinez / Hernandez

Center Court00:55

Pre-match odds

Lindmeyer / Wunner

6%

Avg Elo 1450

Martinez / Hernandez

94%

Avg Elo 1689

Elo gap 239

Martinez / Hernandez delivered as 94% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lindmeyer / WunnerMartinez / Hernandez

37%
Points won
63%
43%
Points won on serve
72%
28%
Points won on return
57%
44%
1st-serve points won
71%
38%
2nd-serve points won
80%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
50%
Break points converted
60%
8
Longest run of points
7
8
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

29%
Points won
71%
33%
Points won on serve
76%
24%
Points won on return
67%
37%
1st-serve points won
79%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
21%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
2
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
3

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
49%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
51%
48%
1st-serve points won
65%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
100%
Break points converted
75%
8
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.