Round of 32MenOctober 6, 2026
Arroyo / Jimenez v Castaño / Hernandez
Pre-match odds
Upset75%
Avg Elo 1715
25%
Avg Elo 1620
Elo gap 95
Castaño / Hernandez won with a 25% chance — about 1 in 4.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Arroyo / JimenezCastaño / Hernandez
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 54%
- Points won on serve 58%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 5
Set 2
- Points won 61%
- Points won on serve 73%
- Points won on return 47%
- 1st-serve points won 71%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 50%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.