The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 6, 2026

Goñi / Alonso v Navarro / Di Nenno

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Alonso

19%

Avg Elo 1732

Navarro / Di Nenno

81%

Avg Elo 1859

Elo gap 127

Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / AlonsoNavarro / Di Nenno

46%
Points won
54%
51%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
49%
54%
1st-serve points won
65%
20%
2nd-serve points won
42%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
58%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
40%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
51%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
49%
56%
1st-serve points won
69%
0%
2nd-serve points won
25%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5
1
Double faults
0

Set 2

45%
Points won
55%
52%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
48%
52%
1st-serve points won
60%
50%
2nd-serve points won
75%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
25%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.